Spain vs Turkey Betting Tips
Reflecting our play on Albania against France, we are simply playing this one for value. As we have championed previously we will always attack heavy favorites if the price is right and in this market, the Turkish offer tremendous upside. In light of Spain’s recent win to open Group D play and Turkey’s defeat at the hands of Croatia, let us not forget that Turkey is a team ranked inside the top-fifteen of the FIFA World Rankings. Yes, Spain is a top-six constituent but it is hard to imagine Spain owning a 90% chance of winning this game outright when they are less than ten positions higher than Turkey in the overall rankings. Yet the market portrays it as such. Such prognostication and forecasts often pave the way for a significant chance of overlay and thus we will attack that immediately.
As we highlighted previously Croatia outshot Turkey by nine and fire off three times as many attempts on goal as the Turkish and yet they won by just one goal. That one goal was a feat that dazzled audiences on an international level, an artistic rendition composed by a renaissance man in Luka Modric. Outside of the Modric goal, Croatia split possession with Turkey throughout the game right down the middle. These figures offer a lot of silver linings for the Turkish in their dark cloud of defeat, as possession is the name of Spain’s game.
Much of this game will likely be settled in the middle third as Spain’s strength relies in their midfielders. For Turkey, they too enjoy playing the possession game which means that goals may be hard to come by in this contest. The edge with goalkeeping could essentially be construed as a wash, since Turkey’s goalkeeping personnel were able to fend off a slew of efforts on net and only allow one to get past. Spain’s David De Gea may be the best goaltender in the world, but even he can be beat if Turkey has one moment of brilliance. It is for these reasons, football is a very hard sport to predict because one goal can change everything but at the price of 9/1 we would rather prosperity fall in to our hands on a longshot pooch than being all the more vulnerable at 4/9 backing a team that is “supposed to win”.
Very simple, that philosophy is perilous. We have frequented this stance in many of other plays as it is of great importance to stay off heavy favorites and lay juice. Case and point, Austria. Austria had come in to their fixture with Hungary as a huge favorite with all the buzz of being a top-flight international team in this tournament. We were on Hungary from the value angle in a rivalry game at 5/1 and we were able to secure five units on a 2-0 victory. It is simple math, would you rather risk $225 to make $100 on Spain or $100 on Turkey to make $900 if they were to win? Given the fact we get a team of excellent quality at an extraordinarily fair price, we take that offering every time and let the chips fall where they may.<iframe src="https://imstore.bet365affiliates.com/365_429672-507-5-6-149-1-85255.aspx" width="468" height="60" frameborder="0" scrolling="no"> </iframe> For latest odds you can check a few <strong>recommended sportsbooks</strong> and betting exchanges <ul> <li><a href="http://bettingbonusestoday.com/glm/bet365-d1-bbt/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Bet365 - 100% Signup bonus</a></li> <li><a href="http://bettingbonusestoday.com/glm/smarkets-d1-bbt/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Smarkets - £10 Free Bet</a></li> <li><a href="http://bettingbonusestoday.com/glm/redbet-d1-bbt/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Redbet - 50% Match Bonus</a></li> </ul>